Public Approval, Incumbent President who Lose

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8/23/2024 (and after):  This graph still includes data for Biden despite the fact that he is no longer a candidate.  The general forecasting model predicts the outcome for the candidate of the incumbent president's party (using the approval of the incumbent president, i.e., Biden) whether that president is running again or not!!

Gallup Approval for incumbent presidents seeking reelection who lose, plus Biden. Biden is at the median of this group.

Last Updated

12/06/2024
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